Senior citizens' homes emerging as a serious segment of real estate

PUNE: Indian real estate scene is witnessing the emergence of senior citizens' homes as a new market segment as the number of projects and housing stock directed at this section of population is rising fast, a report by real estate advisory firm Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj (JLLM) has said.

The observation is highlighted in a report Senior housing sector in India: Key Trends,' which JLLM released on Friday. "The status of seniors in Indian market is experiencing a sea-change, owing to their growing cohort size, augmented financial independence and change in mindset. They are no longer considered withdrawn, risk averse and financially dependent. The immense potential of this segment, with its unique needs and promises, offers an array of opportunities to the Indian real estate market," the report said.

Saumyajit Roy, associate vice-president (senior living) at Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj, told TOI, "Five years ago, there were only about 3 to 4 developers focusing on senior living sector to any degree. Moreover, their focus was diffused and their approach was not as well-researched and need-based, as it is today. In the current context, there are around 14 developers actively exploring this segment."

In India, more than 60 per cent of households are nuclear and 8.94 per cent of the population is aged 60-plus, indicating that the aged are in greater need of support than ever.

According to real estate market sources, the number of housing units being built specifically for seniors has increased four to five fold and the segment is on a growth path. "We estimate the number of units in this segment at about 4,000 now, but the way the segment is growing we expect this number to jump to over 20,000 in three years," said the chief executive officer of a Mumbai-based real estate consultancy firm who did not want to be named.

The report pointed out that while opportunities exist, it is important to comprehend the ecosystem in which seniors exist in India. It is imperative that real estate developers understand and acknowledge the unique requirements of the elderly while catering to the sector. The aged population faces numerous issues, typical of the sunset years of their lives.

"A growing sense of insecurity, craving for companionship, fear of getting obsolete and loss of relevance within the family, increasing physical disability, difficulty to access transport, a need for quality healthcare and geriatric care, complexity in conducting the daily chores of family life are some of the several issues that the aged face today. These, compounded by poor access to government and other support systems, insurance and legal assistance, immobilise them. These nuances of old age need to be thoroughly recognised by the developers," the report has elaborated.

The report underlines that there are rising numbers of seniors who are adapting to the idea of senior living' spending the sunset years of their lives with similar-aged companions and sharing facilities in settings of enablement and security. The report also points out to a recent survey of households with senior citizens which revealed that over 60 per cent found the concept of a senior citizen's club or a senior citizen's association as a viable and practical one. Contemporary retirement homes or resorts have replaced the earlier concept of old age homes, which symbolised the last option for needy and abandoned elderly, it said.

City-based Paranjape Schemes Construction Limited has pioneered the concept in the city with their project Atha Shree (the beginning), which has thus far completed three such projects and has set its sight on other cities and countries to develop retirement villages.'

Another realty firm, Ashiana Housing Limited, is constructing the Rs 200 crore Utsav Lavasa in Lavasa City near Pune. The project will comprise 475 retirement housing units comprising of villas and multiple choices apartments. Manoj Tyagi, vice-president, Ashiana housing, said there is a growing acceptance among discerning Indian senior citizens about retirement homes. He said the residents of the retirement resort will be able to maintain the active, healthy lifestyle that they have grown accustomed to, but with more luxuries like hobby clubs, activity rooms, swimming pool or health club.

Key facts about India's property market

More than a dozen Indian real estate firms have lined up plans for initial public offers to raise about USD 6 billion, buoyed by an 81% rise in the Mumbai stock index last year and as property buyers return.

Following are key facts about India's property market.

The property market contributes 5-6% to India's gross domestic product, or about USD 50 billion annually to the USD 1 trillion economy, Asia's third largest.
Total foreign direct investment in housing and real estate in India, since investment norms were first eased in 2005, stands at USD 7.7 billion, including USD 2.2 billion in April-November 2009.

The Bombay realty index underperformed the main index last year, rising 70% after a slump in the first quarter, versus the market's 81% gain.

The major cities of Mumbai, New Delhi and Bangalore have the most expensive residential property in India, with rates comparable to New York, London and Tokyo, due to limited land and the government's push to develop its services industry. Apartment prices have risen by around a third in some parts of India since hitting a low in the 2009 first quarter.

The government, wary of an asset bubble forming, has warned that banks should be more cautious about risks in lending to property developers at low rates. However, little has been done yet to actually curb lending.

India is in need of a clearer property policy to better develop the sector, analysts said. Since 2007, the legislature has been drafting a bill to regulate the real estate market, but has met with resistance by developers and industry lobbies.

Affordable housing to play a key role in 2010, says CREDAI

Affordable housing to play a key role in 2010, says CREDAI




Affordable housing segment is set to play a key role in India's real estate sector in 2010 on the back of a significant pick up in
demand, a top industry body has said.

"Affordable housing will be a key factor in driving the sector and we have already started working on progressive solutions in this area for effective and customized implementation of such projects," Confederation of Real Estate Developers' Associations of India (CREDAI) Chairman Kumar Gera said.

An upturn in the economy and the Government's ongoing efforts to push growth in the infrastructure are expected to help the sector regain the growth trajectory, CREDAI said.

"This year will be crucial for the housing industry given the Government's concern over the massive housing needs of the people, especially in urban areas," Gera said.

Noting that the economic recovery would help India's real estate sector to return to the 2007-08 level, Gera said 2010 is expected to be a positive year for the segment.

The revival is expected to be driven by infrastructure growth, which, in turn, can accelerate real estate activities both in the residential as well as commercial spaces, he said.

2010 to be a good year for realty, says Credai

Chennai: Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations of India (CREDAI) is hopeful of a positive year for the India real estate industry in 2010 and the market is expected to return to the 2007-08 level. Given the right opportunity and supportive policies, the real estate sector too would prove effective in driving the country's GDP growth. Infrastructure development is an area which will play a vital role as increased connectivity in terms of roads, rail and communication will lead to development in real estate. Development of other asset classes like warehousing, logistics, tourism and hospitality would also boost real estate activity.

Kumar Gera, chairman, CREDAI, said: “This year would be crucial for the housing industry given the government's concern over the massive housing needs of the people, especially in the urban areas. Supportive policies to encourage and aid the housing requirements of all sections are expected to propel the development in the real estate and allied sectors as well. Affordable housing would be a key factor in driving the sector and CREDAI has already started working on progressive solutions in this area for effective and customised implementation as suited to the Indian situation through NATCON 2010. Also, focus on tier II and tier III cities besides metros will help widen market and generate demand.”

Facilities management is the next big thing in real estate space

Mumbai/Bangalore: When Jasmer Puri started his company 16 years ago, he used to shy away from telling his friends about his business. Having built Dusters Hospitality Services Pvt. Ltd into a Rs100 crore facilities management services firm, Puri no longer has reason to be embarrassed.

Facilities management refers to the maintenance and care of commercial or institutional buildings such as hotels, resorts, schools, hospitals or office complexes. The services include maintenance of electric fittings such as air conditioners and lighting systems, plumbing, cleaning, housekeeping and security.

With overseas companies increasing their presence in India, the real estate sector undergoing a revival and a growing emphasis on urban development and modernization of office spaces, the business is set for rapid growth, making it attractive for investors.

India’s facilities management market is valued at an annual $3.3 billion (Rs15,411 crore) and is expected to grow at a yearly rate of 25-30% over the next three-four years, according to consulting firm Netscribes (India) Pvt. Ltd.

“It is the biggest growth business in real estate spectrum in years to come,” says Anurag Mathur, managing director of Cushman and Wakefield India Pvt. Ltd, a commercial real estate services firm.

Dusters Hospitality Services counts the Taj and Marriott hotel chains, Four Seasons Hotel and JPMorganChase and Co. among its clients and has a presence in 15 Indian cities. Last month, the firm received Rs35 crore in funding from private equity firm TVS Capital Funds Ltd.

Other investments in this space include India Equity Partners and Beacon India Private Equity Fund’s investment of $33 million in A2Z Maintenance and Engineering Services Pvt. Ltd in October.

“As the property market grows, it will be difficult for the in-house management to handle FMS (facilities management services),” says Naushad Panjwani, executive director, facilities management, and project management, Knight Frank India Pvt. Ltd.

Such activities as housekeeping and maintenance services would be increasingly outsourced to service providers that are able to offer economies of scale and a cost advantage. FMS firms also deploy their own machines and equipment, ruling out the need for a client to buy anything, says Hanmant R. Gaikwad, founder of BVG India Ltd, an FMS firm.

“The advantage of outsourcing the FMS to these organizations is that they can service my needs all the time and I don’t need to worry about replacing people when they are on annual leave or they quit,” says Ranjit Deval, manager of administration at the Pfizer India Ltd office in Mumbai, which outsources its FMS to Knight Frank.

BVG, which received Rs40 crore from the Kotak Private Equity Group (KPEG) in February 2008, handles the facilities management for Rashtrapati Bhavan, Tarapore nuclear power plant and Hindustan Unilever Ltd.

“We were looking at infrastructure-services-related firms as a play and we clearly saw an opportunity in who was going to maintain all these places. We started looking at all the players in the FMS space and zeroed in on BVG,” says Nitin Deshmukh, chief executive, KPEG.

To be sure, FMS firms have no shortage of competition in a sector where entry barriers are low. Around 1,000 firms are competing for a share of the market in India, according to Netscribes. Local service providers often do not comply with statutory regulations, giving them a cost advantage over the organized sector, according to the consulting firm.

Meanwhile, realty firms are beginning to see FMS as a part of their main business. Anuradha Gandhi, business head, Property Solutions India Pvt. Ltd, the FMS business division of real estate firm Kalpataru Group, says, FMS is a natural extension of the core business of property development.

“It adds value and brings great edge to a company. If a property is not maintained well, its value goes down on its own,” says Gandhi.

NCR, Mumbai record strongest demand despiteNCR, Mumbai record strongest demand despite hike in prices hike in prices

The real estate sector has underperformed the Sensex by 16% in the past one month on concerns of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) hawkish stance towards the sector and likely increases in mortgage rates. Our analysis of Mumbai’s apartment registrations data reveals that demand remains strong despite 5-30% rise in prices in the past five months. Thus, while prices in many pockets in the city are at their lifetime highs, registrations in October were the highest in almost two years. This leads us to believe that residential demand in metros has strong tailwinds and is unlikely to be affected materially by a small increase in mortgage rates. Our top picks are DLF Ltd and Housing Development and Infrastructure Ltd.

RBI increased the risk weightage on commercial real estate lending by 100 basis points (bps), which is likely to result in a 50-100bps increase in borrowing costs. Mortgage rates could also come under pressure, owing to inflation-related concerns. Headwinds of higher prices and mortgage rates are likely to weigh on real estate demand.

However, October was the strongest month in almost two years: Apartment registrations turned in strong numbers for the fourth straight month in October. Registrations during July-October were the highest since January-April 2007.

We believe a 50bps increase in mortgage rates will have marginal impact on affordability. This, in our opinion, is unlikely to have a meaningful impact on demand. We prefer developers with city-centre-oriented projects in Mumbai and the National Capital Region—the two metros that have recorded the strongest revival in demand.

ICICI Bank to focus on home-loans as real estate picks up

The country's largest private bank, ICICI Bank, today said it is focussing on the home-loan segment as the real estate segment is witnessing a comeback after the economic slowdown.

"We are focussing on the home-loan segment at the moment as there is a lot of activity in this sector (home) ... people who stopped buying a few months ago, are back again," ICICI Bank's Managing Director & CEO Chanda Kochhar told reporters here today.

The bank had recently launched a home-loan scheme under which 8.25 per cent interstate be fixed for the first two-years for loans sanctioned from December 1, 2009 to January 31, 2010, irrespective of the loan amount. The first disbursement of the loan should be availed before March 31, 2010.

From the third-year onwards, the Lender would charge a floating interest rate depending upon the then prevailing floating reference rate.

India tops Asian real estate investment markets

India leads the pack of top real estate investment markets in Asia for 2010, according to a study by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) and Urban Land Institute, a global non-profit education and research institute.

The report, which provides an outlook on Asia-Pacific real estate investment and development trends, points out that India, particularly Mumbai and Delhi, are good destinations. Residential properties are viewed as more promising than other sectors and Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore top the pack in the hotel ‘buy' prospects as well.

The study is based on the opinions of over 270 international real estate professionals, including investors, developers, property company representatives, lenders, brokers and consultants.

Asia-Pacific hold up

Since the global economic meltdown, asset markets in the Asia-Pacific region have been holding up surprisingly well compared with their peers in Europe and the US. While pricing and rentals in the region fell steeply in 2008 and early 2009 in line with those in the West, markets across the region were boosted in the second half of the year by the remarkable resilience of the Chinese economy, which was buoyed by a series of fiscal and monetary stimulus measures.

As a result, many Asian markets have begun to flash positive signals toward the end of 2009. Transaction volumes have rebounded, although from a very low base, led overwhelmingly by China, the report said.

“The relatively stronger fundamentals and the lack of dependence on foreign demand are seen as key advantages as India has managed to mitigate the severe recession that has hit most other Asian countries.

“The recapitalisation by players in equity markets across Asia has been successfully replicated by some Indian developers, which has helped ease the liquidity stresses,” said Mr Gautam Mehra, India Leader for Real Estate Practice, PriceWaterhouse Coopers.

Unlike the US and Europe, distress sale in Asia had been relatively minimal. This was due to several factors, including a relative abundance of liquidity; low loan-to-value ratios, leaving borrowers less vulnerable to loan servicing problems when the prices declined, the report said.

Further, Asian banks remain well-capitalised, having experienced few major losses from derivative investments and also because of the ability of many large investment institutions to recapitalise via the capital markets, (particularly in Australia and Singapore) allowing them to pay down debt.

Tentative rebounds

Despite the recent bullish atmosphere, rebounds in most Asia-Pacific markets (with the exception of China) appear tentative and fragile. Although Asia-Pacific governments will probably be able to sustain high rates of liquidity for the foreseeable future, their near term prospects are probably tied to developments in the West and in particular the US, where de-leveraging is far from over.

“The idea that the recession is likely over gives rise to the widespread notion that global economies will now revert gradually to the same trajectories as in the past, which is normally what happens when recessions end,” said the ULI Chief Executive Officer, Mr Patrick L. Phillips.

He said the aftermath was likely to be different because the imbalances that led to the global downturn remain embedded in the system and could not be quickly eliminated. Moreover, with spending by the Western consumers no longer acting as the primary engine of global economic growth, a new driver was needed to boost the world's economy, and, in turn, the global real estate industry.

Expected Regulation Would Encourage Foreign Investment In India

A three year lock in period for developers and foreign investors in the real estate market in India is expected to be scrapped.

The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion and the Ministry of Commerce and Industry have put forward proposals to get rid of the statutory condition.

Developers and investors have long been critical of the policy saying that it is stifling investment.

Currently foreign investment in housing is subject to certain rules covering capitalization norms and the minimum area to be developed. But it is the fact that the original investment cannot be repatriated for three years from completion that is stifling investment, critics claim.

The government has indicated that it is keen to liberalize the Foreign Direct Investment regime in India.

‘The original restrictions on repatriation were a cautionary measure intended to prevent speculative investments in the real estate sector,’ one official said.

‘However, this sector has been feeling the pressures of the global economic crisis and has desperately been in need of greater capital and liquidity to fund its existing projects and growth,’ he added.

It is considered that a change will boost the real estate sector in India but also create jobs and greater domestic economic activity.

But there are some concerns that the proposed relaxation will result in a fluctuation of realty stocks and thus lead to market volatility.

But supporters say that less restrictions on foreign investments will help the economy overall.

Meanwhile developers in India are relieved that they do not have a lot of links with debt hit Dubai.

DLF, India’s largest real estate company, said plans to enter the Dubai market have now been postponed. ‘Luckily for us the one deal for which we were negotiating fell through,’ said DLF executive director Rajeev Talwar.

DLF was close to finalizing a joint venture with the now troubled Nakheel whose parent company Dubai World is trying to postpone debt payments while it restructures its finances.

Developer Omaxe, which has paid the first installment for buying land for two residential projects in Dubai, is considering pulling out.

‘There has been a slowdown in the Dubai real estate market.

Looking at the current situation, we are considering exiting the two projects,’ said chairman and managing director Rohtas Goel.

Biggest Indian-Canadian landlord eyes India's 'dream' market Assetventures

Canada's biggest Indian landlord Bob Dhillon, who started his company from the back of his car and now owns more than 6,000 rental properties across the country, is set to enter the Indian real estate market.

Dhillon, who has been invited by Prime Minister Stephen Harper to join him during his visit to India beginning Monday, is bullish on the Indian market.

"Despite the current slowdown, I am sure the Indian real estate sector will take off in a big way. We are ready to come here next year," says 43-year-old Dhillon whose Mainstreet Equity is the first Indian-owned company to be listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

Dhillon, who started selling homes at the age of 19 and became a millionaire at the young age of 21, says: "Today, India is a realtor's dream. It is the fastest growing real estate market in the world after (western) Canada.

Three things make India a dream destination for him, he says.

"One, 50 percent of India's population is below 25 and they will spur demand for housing. Two, a vast majority of Indians live in rural areas which are set to see a huge housing activity. Third, as prosperity increases, people's hunger for home ownership will also increase.

"These three things are any real estate man's dream," he says.

Dhillon, who was born in Japan and educated in India, keeps a close watch on the Indian real estate market and has made many presentations on it at various fora.

About his inclusion in the prime minister's delegation, he says: "Because the prime minister wants to focus on economic ties with India... He sees that Canada and India have a huge economic future.

"We have a new generation of Indian businessmen in Canada who will bridge these two great economies. We will bring financial and intellectual inputs into this relationship."

Dhillon says the visit of the Canadian prime minister could not have come at a better time as the worst of the economic slowdown seems to be over.

"We have two great like-minded prime ministers. Stephen Harper and Manmohan Singh are both economists and policy driven. The visit will definitely boost our business relationship," he says.

Interestingly, Dhillon's company has boomed even in these troubled economic times. In fact, he has smartly leveraged the current crisis to expand his company to take its fortunes to well over $1 billion.

Explaining it, he says: "We have flourished because of the type of real estate business we do. We own mid-segment apartments mostly in western Canada which was not that badly hit.

"Then we had a lot of cash flow which we used to buy back 40 per cent of shares. Further, we have taken advantage of low prices to buy more properties."

The Indian king of the Canadian real estate considers his upcoming 2,300-acre island in Belize (Central America) the jewel in his crown. He is developing it into a world-class tourist resort for Hollywood celebrities. The island amid pristine blue sea waters will have hotels, golf clubs, casinos, condominiums, high-end houses and other facilities.

The likes of Madonna and Leonardo DiCaprio will be its residents, says Dhillon whose family first emigrated to Hong Kong, then Liberia and finally Canada from Tallewal village near Barnala in Punjab.

Govt may scrap 3-year lock-in for FDI in real estate

To boost foreign direct investment (FDI) in real estate, the government may remove the mandatory three-year lock-in period for overseas investments in the sector.

The department of industrial policy and promotion (DIPP) has proposed this move, with a draft cabinet note on the proposal being circulated for inter-ministerial consultations. Doing away with this lock-in period has been a long-standing demand of Indian developers as well as foreign investors.

The government had permitted 100% FDI in the sector in 2005. However, this was subject to certain conditions such as a minimum capitalization of $5 million by the foreign investor and non-repatriation of the original investment for a minimum period of three years.

The liberalization of the real estate sector led to FDI inflows increasing from $151 million in 2005-06 to $2.03 billion in 2008-09. DIPP now argues that no sector, except defence, has a lock-in period. “Based on experience, this condition no longer seems necessary,” a DIPP official said on condition of anonymity.

Hosing sector demand to go up by 30 percent: FICCI Asetventures

The residential sector will lead the revival of India's reality industry as it will see a surge in demand by 30 percent by 2009-end, according to an industry lobby survey.

'Although the real estate sector has started showing some signs of revival, a majority of the industry experts expect the residential segment to recover by the end of 2009 with a 25-30 percent renewal in demand,' said the survey report by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI).

However, the commercial and retail segments will take some more time to recover.

The commercial and retail segments are expected to pick up after the third quarter of 2010, the report said.

'Affordable housing seems to be the flavour of the day as more than 34 percent of the demand in the residential segment is in the price bracket of Rs.5-Rs.15 lakh,' the survey said.

Demand for houses in the range of Rs.15-Rs.25 lakh will go up by 26 percent, while those in the bracket of Rs.25-Rs.40 lakh will see demand rising 22 percent, the chamber said.

Properties priced between Rs.35 lakh and Rs.50 lakh will see 12 percent increase in demand, while the houses priced above Rs.50 lakh will see a mere 6 percent rise.

However, banks are still cautious in lending, and prefer lending to credible developers, the survey said.

The real estate mutual funds have not taken off well in the Indian market due to 'lack of awareness and ambiguous policy framework'.

The taxation and exit-related issues need to be resolved and the guidelines need to be comprehensive and transparent for them to do well, it added.

'Lack of standardised policies is the most serious issue. Multiple state laws hinder and delay the execution of projects. Absence of single window clearance emerged as the second most critical issue,' FICCI said.

Unclear land titles pose a major challenge in the development of real estate sector, it added.

Govt plans regulatory reform for housing sector Assetventures

The central government is working on a model real estate regulation bill to provide guidelines to facilitate growth and promotion of healthy and transparent efficient and competitive real estate sector in the country, said the housing and urban poverty alleviation minister Kumari Selja.

This is a welcome move and will help the sector in becoming efficient and competitive. However, developers feel the government should form a separate regulator on the lines of Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to regulate the sector.

Addressing a conference on real estate, the minister said Indian real estate market is unorganised and fragmented and that most of property transactions are based on certain perceptions and not necessarily on sound business principles. In this, customer satisfaction is low and redressal procedure is long and cumbersome. This has created problems for both buyers and developers. As end users are not sure of delivery of a house by builders on time, they dont want to risk a purchase by taking a loan from the bank.

Apart from this, many buyers are not even sure of the specifications, which developers promise while selling them the houses/flats. Worse still, when developers do not deliver on time or stick to the promised specifications while selling, buyers do not know where to for redressal.

Going to a court is not only time consuming but also expensive. This has forced buyers to either defer their purchase or to go for completed projects. But, this apprehension of end users has affected genuine developers as well, which have a plan and required finances to complete a project. However, in the last couple of months, end users have started showing interest in buying new projects. But, they want to buy in the projects of reputed developers alone. This has created problem for the new but good developers.

A senior developer says if the sector is well regulated, the role of brokers and investors can be reduced. In most of the cases, investors, who have better understanding of the sector and who can invest time and money to know about developers, invest at the early stage of implementation of a project and make easy money by selling them to end users at high prices when the project comes to a close. The end users, on the other hand, are comfortable in buying a house when projects are close to completion, hence making the sector over dependent on investors.

Consequently, in the last one year of market downturn, the entire real estate sector came to a screeching halt as investors disappeared from the market. But, had the sector been well regulated, end users would have been bold enough to buy at the early stage of project implementation. This would have helped developers also.

However, another problem in regulating the sector is that it comes under the state subject as well. Thus, a senior official says nothing much can be done unless state governments show interest. Haryana Government has already passed an act to regulate the sector. But, the results are not encouraging, thus far. It was assured all the stakeholders that the government will accord full cooperation and support to encourage affordable housing.

She said the housing sector in India holds tremendous potential and has positive impact on the social and economic development of the country. In
2006-07 the sector was about 4.5% of country's Gross Domestic Product and comprised approximately 7% of the total urban workforce. Housing is the largest component of the construction sector and central to economic growth.

However, provision of affordable housing for all is a complex problem with challenges emerging from many facets of urban sector. The minister said there are many impediments to the growth of affordable housing land and capital being the two key constraints.

To increase the stock for affordable housing the focus has to be on augmenting land supplies. Kumari Selja said the issue is a critical one and requires a number of measures such as alternative methods of land assembly, development and disposal to be pursued, check on prices of urban land, encouraging public-private partnership, promoting intense use of land-higher densities, revision in Floor Area Ratio or Floor Space Index and change of norms to suit local situations, discouraging speculation in land development, and allotment or disposal process to check rising prices of land.

Housing sector is shining again Assetventures

Last August, Gurgaon real-estate broker S Karan was planning to move out of his tiny basement office in a small building to a fancy new one in one of the tall steel-and-glass buildings that have become the signature of this booming Delhi suburb.

Then, Lehman Brothers, one of the Big Four investment banks in the US, collapsed on September 15, sparking off a global recession, an Indian economic slowdown, and a slump in the once booming real-estate sector.

Karan (34) then thought his dreams would remain still-born — till the first signs of a recovery in the first quarter of 2009-10. “Usually, we seal 70 per cent of our deals around Diwali. Last year, that figure dropped to 30 per cent.”
There were many reasons for the death of his dream.

The global recession took the Indian stock markets down with it. The BSE Sensex fell from 14,001 on September 12, the last trading day before the Lehman collapse, to a low of 8,198 on March 5, this year.

So, the supply of speculative money that had mainly fuelled the 2005-08 real estate boom, in which house prices doubled and rentals soared more than 75 per cent, stopped.

Rising inflation also forced the Reserve Bank of India to hike interest rates. Result: interest rates on housing loans rose from 7-8 per cent levels at the end of 2007 to 12 per cent a year later.

Housing was no longer attractive for speculators, and out of reach of the middle class.

The bubble had burst.

Between October last year and March this year, housing sales dropped from 10,000-12,000 units per month in the National Capital Region to less than a third of that number.

“Earlier (prior to the Lehman collapse), I used to conduct two to three transactions in the resale category and three to four original bookings every month. After October, that number fell by half,” says Karan.

Transaction values also fell as realtors, who had got used to net profit margins of more than 50 per cent, cut prices to lure buyers back.

But the double whammy of lower prices and plunging sales took its toll. DLF, India’s largest real estate company, saw its January-March 2009 sales and profits plunge 96.6 per cent and 95.3 per cent, respectively, to Rs 55.5 crore and Rs 29.8 crore.

Unitech, India’s second-largest real estate developer, and a host of other biggies like Omaxe, Parasvnath, Prestige, Puravankara, etc., also suffered similar setbacks.

Then the tide began to turn in the first quarter of 2009-10. The global recession brought down crude oil and commodity prices worldwide.

The wholesale price-based inflation rate began to ease – and even entered negative territory for a while. Interest rates started falling once again.

Realtors cut prices, by up to 30 per cent, and launched a slew of affordable housing projects (priced at Rs 15-50 lakh per apartment).

And the release of arrears to government employees, following the Sixth Pay Commission Report, thus, putting massive sums of money in the hands of government employees, provided the icing on the cake.

Buyers returned to the market.

Unitech Managing Director Sanjay Chandra says the company booked nearly 4,000 housing units in the first two-and-a-half months of 2009-10.

The number of registration agreements signed has also seen a healthy improvement. In Mumbai and Pune, registrations increased 24 per cent and 21 per cent month on month, respectively, said a June 2009 report, On the road to recovery, by Religare, Hitchens Harrison.

“The residential property market has been driving this recovery,” says Aditi Vijayakar, director, residential services, Cushman & Wakefield India, a large real estate consultant. The commercial and retail segments, though, have not yet picked up.

“The worst is over,” says Kumar Gera, chairman of the Confederation of Real Estate Developers Association of India, the apex body of realtors in India.

So, Karan can probably breathe easier now, even though his dream office may still be out of reach.

Festive season, low loan rates... real estate sector scales north in tricity assetventures

Chandigarh As global economy shows signs of recovery, reasonable investment has been registered in the sector
With the festive season approaching and signs of global economic recovery visible, real estate business has picked up in the tricity.

Though it will take a few months to revive the sentiment, experts say, reasonable investment has recently been registered in the sector.

While the developers are offering festive discounts and schemes to clear the inventory, banks are also offering discounts on home loans.

“I was keeping a tab on projects in the tricity for over a year. Considering this the opportune time to invest in property, I have invested around Rs 50 lakh for a three-bedroom flat in Mohali,”Ankit Saini, a resident of Chandigarh, who works in Merchant Navy.

“I could also negotiate a discount of Rs 4 lakh on the apartment,” he added.

While banks are attracting the customers with lowered interest rates and no procession fee for a limited period on home loans, buyers are eager to cash in as rates are expected to increase by January-March.

To make the most of changing sentiments of buyers, developers are offering extra amenities in flats, lucky draw prizes and discounts to the early birds.

“Free parking and cupboards that amount to Rs 50,000 are offered to buyers who make purchase during navrataras. A lucky draw will also be conducted to offer full furnishing for flats,” said R S Bhullar, Vice president ATS Infrastructure Limited.

He claimed that the residential project in Dera Bassi had marked a sale of 30 units in three months. Real estate consultants said once the buyer started making the transactions, the investors responded.

“The real estate sector is recovering in the region. With the festive season starting from Saturday, the trend is expected to go up,” said Rajesh Kalra, a property consultant.

India's biggest land deals

DLF, India’s largest real estate developer, has emerged as the sole bidder for the 350.71-acre land parcel in Gurgaon put up for auction by HSIIDC. With a reserve price of Rs 1,700 crore, it’s said to be one of the largest land deals in India in terms of value.

Mega land deals, however, are not new to the Indian real estate industry which has already witnessed many such deals in the past few years, particularly during the property boom of recent years. We take a look at some of them:
In March 2008, BPTP outbid DLF for a tract of land in Noida near Delhi with a Rs 5,000-crore offer.

BPTP quoted the highest sum for the site -- Sector 94 running along the Noida and Greater Noida Expressway -- bidding at Rs 1,30,207 per square metre, followed by the country’s largest realty company DLF which quoted Rs 1,17,000 per square metre and Omaxe at Rs 80,100 per square metre.

BPTP’s winning bid was nearly 70 per cent more than the reserve price of Rs 2960 crore for the land parcel. But the deal was called off after BPTP failed to arrange funds to complete the deal.
Unitech in 2007 acquired 1,750 acres of land in Visakhapatnam from APIIC at over Rs 3,300 crore. At Rs 52 lakh per acre, it was among the largest deals in the country in terms of the acreage from a single source in a single deal.

The Andhra Pradesh Industrial Infrastructure Corporation (APIIC) had invited bids to develop the land for the Integrated Vizag Knowledge City.

Dubai-based Al Hamra Real Estate Development LLC had also qualified for the bid, but dropped out in the final stage.
The Ahmedabad-based Adani Group in May 2006 finalised India’s one of the largest lands deal with Housing Development and Infrastructure (HDIL) for Rs 2,250 crore to develop a commercial and retail hub in Mumbai’s landmark commercial business district, the Bandra-Kurla Complex (BKC).

The deal involved the sale and development of over 2.1m sq ft of land (around 48 acres) at BKC.
DLF has emerged as the sole bidder for the 350.71-acre land parcel in Gurgaon put up for auction by a Haryana state corporation. With a reserve price of Rs 1,700 crore, it’s the fourth-largest land deal in India in terms of value.

The Haryana State Industrial and Infrastructure development Corporation (HSIIDC) had first invited bids in January for this project, which will have a golf course, sports, commercial and residential development. DLF, which was the sole bidder then, had sought changes in bid conditions seeking easier payment plan.

HSIIDC re-invited bids in July, giving bidders the facility of a staggered payment plan over seven years and an additional 20% FAR (Floor area ratio or the developable floor space over a piece of land). The reserve price for the site was Rs 11,978 per square meter or Rs 1700 crore.

Unitech had a couple of years back outbid rival DLF Universal to bag the 340-acre city development contract on Noida Expressway with an offer of Rs 1,583 crore.

For the project where 50 per cent land was to be used for open area development and greenery and the rest for residential accommodation, Unitech had bid at the rate of Rs 11,529 per square metre.

DLF had put up a bid of Rs 1,401.46 crore at the rate of Rs 10,200 per square metre, according to media reports.

Reliance Industries in 2006 bid for and won a 7.5-hectare plot at Bandra Kurla Complex, a prime location in Mumbai, for Rs 1,104 crore.

According to media reports, Reliance paid Rs 61 cr per acre to grab the crucial Bandra Kurla convention center deal.

The bid was 130-per cent higher than the reserve price of Rs 480 cr.

Real estate market is improving: Time to buy

The figures in US from the National Association of Realtors show that pending home sales for July increased by a 3.2 percent margin, bringing the organization's Pending Home Sales Index to 97.6. This is a 12 percent improvement over last July's figures, and the highest level for the index since June 2007.

There is strong new reports that the global real estate market is hitting the bottom and some impressive positive news is coming from real estate markets around the world.

In the U.S., the real estate market has yet to hit the bottom, but at least it is very close.
There are 2 factors that would determine recovering the real estate market: one is when job losses stop and new jobs are created and secondly when the real estate prices are realistic reflections of what people can afford to buy.

The news that the real estate market is recovering based on recent sales doesn't really reflect real recovery.
What is happening is that people are buying houses at bargain prices. The value of sales is up and this is a good sign but still the real estate market would probably start recovering by next spring.

Around the world there is positive news in India where there is a huge demand of the population for real estate that is the main factor for the real estate boom--and also in the Middle East where the population growth in 15-20 years is estimated to triple.

The European real estate market mirrors what is happening in the U.S. There are some signs of improvement in Africa and Latin America but not as strong as in Canada, India and China. The Canadian Real Estate Association reported that realtors sold 50,270 units sold via the multiple listing service last month. That's an 18.2 per cent jump from a year ago. It also marked the first time sales had topped 50,000 in July. Sales of existing single-family homes jumped 55 percent in the 2009 second quarter compared to the 2009 first quarter. Realtors sold 18,141 homes in the second quarter.

In China the strength of the property sector has been another big surprise. Property sales were up 53% in the first six months from a year earlier, according to a survey commissioned by the statistics bureau and published in the China Information News, while nationwide prices averaged across 70 cities climbed year on year in June. This masks the fact that in second and third cities prices have been strengthening much more. Property normally accounts for about 25% of fixed asset investment in China and is a key form of wealth holding for most Chinese. Optimism about housing prices will translate into greater consumer confidence.

Chinese commercial real estate sales have increased in the first half of the year, recording more sales that the US and UK markets combined. Global commercial real estate sales are expected to continue growing in the second half of the year, which analysts believe will be the first step to global economic recovery.

NRI meet to seek changes in Indian property laws

NEW YORK: The Global Organization of People of Indian Origin (GOPIO) will pressure the Indian government to amend property laws to protect the
interests of NRIs at its annual conference here this week.

The biggest and oldest body of the Indian diaspora will hold its two-day conference at the Crown Plaza Hotel near LaGuardia airport Aug 21-22.

It will be opened by Oversees Indian Affairs Minister Vayalar Ravi. The 20th annual conference will also be attended by Frank Wisner, former US ambassador to India.

"Though our main theme is 'People of Indian Origin: Strengthening Global Connections', our thrust this year is to put fresh pressure on the Indian government to change property ownership laws for NRIs," outgoing GOPIO president Inder Singh said.

"How can we wholeheartedly involve ourselves in India's development if someone steals our investments and properties in our absence? The current Indian laws are so outmoded that they are not even fit for Indians, let alone the diaspora," Singh said.

"We are 25 million in strength and pumping billions into India. And don't forget that it was the NRIs who ushered in the IT revolution in India to set it on the path to greatness.

"India should realise that we matter a lot in its aspirations to become a superpower," he said.

Apart from Vayalar Ravi and Frank Wisner, the conference will also be attended by Basdeo Pandey, former prime minister of Trinidad and Tobago, Logie Naidoo, mayor of Durban in South Africa, and Lord Daljit Rana from Britain.

GOPIO counts the institution of the Pravasi Bharatiya Divas and People of Indian Origin (PIO) and Overseas Citizenship of Indian (OCI) cards as its biggest achievements in its two-decade history.

"We mooted these proposals to the Indian government at our very first conference in 1989. Finally, when the Vajpayee government set up the L.M. Singhvi panel to discuss the issue, we worked with it. We also proposed that prominent Indians abroad be recognized each year for their services to India,'' said Singh.

He said GOPIO also worked with other Indian bodies in the US to put pressure on Congressmen and Senators to vote in favour of the nuclear deal bill last year.

Singh said their future agenda is to turn GOPIO into "the Rotary Club of the Indian diaspora at the local level in their adopted countries".

Real estate buffeted by strong currents

Real estate in India has always been the playing field for entrepreneurs. This industry has witnessed unprecedented highs and frightening lows
over the years. One is often left dyspnoeic with the continuous shifts in this sector.

Market Dynamics

Due to rise in demand in the IT/ITeS sector and significant increase in FDI, the commercial and retail real estate markets experienced tremendous growth in the first quarter of 2008. Land deals accrued around Rs 23,000 crore with additional deals worth Rs 10,000-crore in the pipeline. The highest recorded land deal was Mumbai's Bandra-Kurla Complex.

However, it has not been an easy journey for all in the property market. Last year, the global property collapse exacerbated by the credit bubble burst resulted in reduced finance and business activity. Equity markets also remained lacklustre and raising money through IPOs proved to be difficult. Both real estate giants, Unitech and DLF, delayed the plans to raise money through REIT issues after witnessing unfavourable initial response.

Consequently, lack of funds forced developers into high interest loans. High credit amounts proved to be detrimental for property companies. Most companies borrowed a large portion of their land-development outlays up front and relied on advance sales to repay these loans. However, poor sales led to delays and massive cost overruns. According to industry estimates, around Rs 8,000 crore worth of projects had faced considerable delay by June 2008.

The Ripple Effect

The collapse of Lehman Brothers, in September 2008, was perhaps the most significant event that spiflicated an already floundering property market in India. It triggered a shockwave that rippled through the liquidity centric commercial and retail real estate markets leaving a trail of defaults, delays, and losses. Even though property prices have corrected by 22-42% in major cities over the last few months, 10-15% downside is further expected. Commercial real estate demand has languished as corporate firms deferred expansion plans to deal with the
credit situation.

Negative absorption rate aggravated by falling rentals led to decreasing margins. Companies like DLF, with 40% of its portfolio in the commercial and retail space, reported 29% y-o-y decline in 2009 revenues while its net profit plummeted by 43%. Similarly, the top line was also distorted for companies like Ansal (-26%), Parsvanath (-60%), etc.

Timely Measures

Timely and synchronised measures taken by central banks and governments around the world restored balance and prevented a total collapse of the financial system. Thus, markets saw a mild recovery. According to Rajeev Rai, vice-president of Corporate Assotech Ltd, “To counter decreasing demand and to gain confidence of all stakeholders of Indian real estate, associations like NAREDCO and CREDAI decided to bring down prices of various properties by reducing overheads and marketing costs. In some cases, ticket size of the property was reduced with reduction in size of apartment to make it more affordable for the masses.”

As per a report by Grant Thornton, the total number of PE deals announced during the first half of 2009 stood at 93 with a total announced value
of $2.89 billion with the highest proportion invested in real estate and infrastructure management worth $1.61 billion. Bhim Yadav, CEO, Falcon Realty Services Pvt Ltd, reckons, “A higher FAR not only brings in more supply to the market, it is also vital for creating room for more affordable housing and control the steep rise in prices, ultimately benefiting the common man.”

The Mumbai real estate saw a sharp price correction. Average peak rentals fell 40–60%. While there was a slight mismatch with excess supply, (supply of over 30mn sq ft over 2008–10E vs expected demand of 22mn sq ft), the demand in Mumbai has been healthy.

Comparative Analysis

UnlikeMumbai, commercial and retail space in NCR is expected to languish due to weaker absorption rate. As per Centrum, the average vacancy rate in malls across India was about 9% in Q408 and NCR had the highest vacancy rate of around 25%. According a study by Knight Frank India, average rentals in Gurgaon was down from Rs 120/sq ft to the Rs 51/sq ft while rents in Noida dropped from Rs 90/sq ft to Rs 44/sq ft.

In conclusion, as market conditions stabilise, the financial markets will slowly pick up resulting in an improved liquidity scenario, stable government, and affordable prices. This may well serve to bring back the shine to this lacklustre sector.

MCD launches amnesty scheme for tax defaulters

NEW DELHI: Not paying your property tax can land you behind bars for a period of seven years now. The Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) has
launched am amnesty scheme under which tax defaulters can clear their dues without having to pay a penalty or the interest amount. But those who fail to pay the tax by October will not only face penalties like sealing of bank accounts and attachment of property but may also be jailed for a period of seven years.

Said mayor Kanwar Sain: "The 30% penalty will be waived off for those paying property tax dues before October 31. In addition to this, 1% interest levied every month on unpaid amount will not be charged from them. The amnesty scheme will be open from Tuesday to October 31.'' For the scheme, the civic agency has constituted special teams in all the 12 zones and the property tax headquarter at Lajpat Nagar.

"Under the scheme, all the property tax payers in the city will get a special identification number similar to Permanent Account Number from the civic agency. In future, the facility will be extended to other property owners too,'' added Sain.

The agency said that in future, property owners who submit pay the tax will get benefit in getting the building plan sanctioned. The mayor said the MCD will collect tax from property owners in unauthorized colonies, about whose status there was some confusion till now.

Survey of India is currently determining the number of property owners who are not in the tax net of the civic agency. According to MCD, only nine lakh people pay property tax, while according to its estimate, there are more than 30 lakh properties in the city.